Thursday, December 3, 2009

GST in 2011

It is now confirmed that Malaysia will introduce GST in Fall 2011. The rate is merely 4%. During my forgotten days between 1991 to 1997 I always wonder what was GST. And the same with VAT. It was only after my auntie died in September 1998 that I began to remember that I used to pay tax in Canada whenever I buy something i.e.provincial tax. If I'm not mistaken the rate for Saskatchewan provincial tax was 7% then.

By this time everyone should be doing some Christmas shopping. I remember during the 1987 Christmas shopping season I bought a Taiwan made stereo at Sears Mid town plaza Saskatoon for CAD 400. I still remember I met a granny with typical British accent although she said she was a Canadian. I know she is still alive.I hope I could meet her again. I wonder if I paid any Saskatchewan tax at that time...

Back to GST. In 1993 when the Canadian PC Mulroney government was defeated by Liberals Jean Chr'etian, I remember how my Saskatchewan friends used to say Chr'etian as the short tongue politician. The reason being Chr'etian never really honor his words because instead of repealing GST ,he introduced Harmonized Sales Tax HST.

I am eager to know the details of Malaysian GST. What sectors will be affected? I know hotels and fast food outlets are already imposing sales tax.(I worked as a trainee at McDonalds in 1995).What about small traders in rural Felda areas? Big items such as cars... If Gst is imposed then will cars be much cheaper? I remember then I did not pay any tax for gas in Saskatchewan.(remembering that PetroCanada gas station where I used to get free car wash although I paid only CAD 10 for gas and that blond counter girl)


GM

Now that GM is searching for new CEO, I wonder if GM can really choose someone who loves cars instead of the big perks. From 1991 - 1997 Proton and Perodua appointed CEOs from outside who were merely interested in big bucks. So the cars which Proton and Perodua made were not world standards.

It is the same thing if the government appoints someone who hates traveling to become diplomats. (no matter how good his language ability other than English was)


Malaysia is having mega sale again until January 2010. Come to Malaysia for your Christmas shopping.

Welcome to Melaka because Visit Melaka is Visit Malaysia.

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Perodua MPV "ALZA"

A few days ago Perodua i.e. the second National Car (Perusahaan Otomobil Kedua) launched its version of MPV. Clearly the Alza is next after Proton Exora. I was at the showroom yesterday. Perodua is obvious in maintaining its Japanese partners identity i.e. Toyota and Daihatsu. Rarely I see a vehicle with center meter panel but for Alza, Perodua has made the move of change. I'm not into MPV but I know Exora and Alza are good products. Even when I was in Saskatoon the only mpv I drove was my then landlord's GM Dodge. It was huge and I felt as if I was driving a container truck.

Walking back from the showroom I remember a song which I downloaded last week. The title was "Surat Terakhir" or the "Final Letter" and sung by 70s singer Salamiah Hassan. As I listened to the song the lyric which really touched my heart was
"I hope no other women will receive the same rejection letter"

I remember I listened to the same song over and over again as I was driving alone from Saskatoon Saskatchewan to Thunder Bay Ontario during the 1989 mid term break. It was one hell of a blizzard and very very cold.

At the Seremban Public Library I looked at the latest issue of The Economist. Thank God my calculation on GDP was correct because The Economist estimate a -2.4% GDP for 2009 while I calculated -2.8% ( the variance is small )

The government's estimate for 2009 deficit at less than 6% is far less than The Economist figure of 8%. But bear in mind that PM Najib has revised the 2009 budget before tabling the 2010 budget.

For readers who like sentimental songs I strongly suggest downloading Surat Terakhir from Salamiah Hassan. There are some Korean and Japanese songs which I loved to hear. For example "Winter Sonata" a Korean song.

Thumbs UP Proton and Perodua !

Saturday, November 21, 2009

GDP Q309 at -1.2%

BNM announced the third quarter GDP yesterday. I must admit the figures are interesting.

Q309 GDP -1.2%
Clearly this figure is acceptable for the time being. Since Q309 is better than Q209 I must also revise my estimate on 2009 GDP. Thus I say the 2009 GDP will be -2.8%


CPI
Q209 at 1.3%
Q309 at 2.3%
If I go to the wet market during this rainy season the price of fish, prawn and squids are quite high. Will it reflect the Q409 CPI?


Financial Sector
RWCR at 14.5% , CCR at 12.9% , Net NPL at 2.1%
Insurance Capital Adequacy Ratio at 214% compared to Q209 at 208%
It must be noted that NPL is classified between 1 to 3 months


Trade
Despite the reduced trade (imports down 18.3% , exports down 22.3%) a trade surplus of RM26.7 Billion is attained while reserves maintained at $96 Billion US.
The decision of the US Government to abandon FTA with Malaysia is understandable. I wonder if the US is keen on GSP with Malaysia again. To me FTA is good with a few set backs. As a result of the US Canada FTA 1989 the Canadian government was forced to relent to the CAW demands and bailed out General Motors Co last summer. If the Ontario government decides to save Canadian taxpayers money then many CAWs are jobless.


FDI
Q209 RM91 Billion, Q309 RM62 Billion
Honestly I don't understand this figure. A lower FDI while there is no more FDI committee? To me increasing interest rate per se will not attract much FDI.


Perhaps my earlier prediction of a lower consumption spending does not materialize. Obviously H1N1 has little impact on Malaysians. I guess I overlooked this particular aspect.


I look forward to a positive GDP Q409 number.

Correction - Tuanku Muhriz

The correct spelling of the new installed Negeri Sembilan ruler is:

Tuanku Muhriz ibni Almarhum Tuanku Munawir.

Please forgive me for the mistake.

Monday, November 16, 2009

GM To Repay Loans

Reading from the Associated Press that General Motors Co will start repaying its loans from the US and Canadian governments is expected. Right from the beginning of the crisis I have no doubts on GM's ability to pay its loans on time.


The initial sum of $6.7 billion to be paid quarterly i.e. $1 billion to the US government and $200 million to the Canadian government indicates the cash flow stream of GM. I do not know if the US and Canadian governments would charge penalties for early repayments because Malaysian banks do charge some money for early paid off loans. ( My car loan was paid off 3 months earlier than the July 2009 deadline - the bank charged a sum of interests although it was an Islamic Loan from a conventional bank)


Uni Asia General Insurance


Uni Asia General Insurance will soon go bankrupt! That is my prediction.

My Grandmother Died

On 10th November at 11am my grandmother on my father's side died. The news was expected considering she was 90 years old and senile. So now I have no more grandparents.

Al-Fatehah

Saturday, November 7, 2009

SOCCER- Malaysia Cup 2009

My congratulations to the Negeri Sembilan soccer team on winning the Malaysia Cup final. As Negeri Sembilan is where my roots came from I am proud of the 2009 team. This cup is indeed a present to Tuanku Mukris who was recently installed as the new Negeri Sembilan ruler.



Queen of Peoples' Heart


For quite sometime I've been trying to download the song "Candle in the wind" which Elton John sang during the late Princess Diana's funeral. By chance I was able to download that particular song today. As I was listening over and over again, tears came down from my eyes ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Thursday, November 5, 2009

The Opel Experience

My first few articles were mainly aimed at remembering my driving experience in Canada. But I forgot some things too. For instance when I was small my late father owned a Volkswagen. I never wrote that initially. Recently I remember I drove an Opel in 1991. It was a Kadett 1200 manufactured in 1978. Honestly I did not feel the umph because the Opel Kadett was an old model then and I think that particular car was already in the junkyard.

I wonder what was GM's strategy when the boards decided to keep the Opel unit.

If I am a rich person I would buy Opel the company BUT just like Malaysia's famous artist the late Tan Sri P Ramlee said in one of his humor movies "he wants to get married but he has only RM1" (the movie is Bujang Lapuk or the Bachelors and Spinsters)

The Opel episode shall continue...

Monday, November 2, 2009

Manual Versus Automatic Vehicles

Before I went to Canada I never had the chance to drive automatic cars. The Malaysian culture is such that manual cars are much faster compared to automatic cars. A man who drives an auto car is considered a women in Malaysia.

I wonder if there is any CORRELATION between a standard and automatic cars which involved in an accident. I once talked with a traffic police who said accidents in Malaysia involved mainly STANDARD cars. There must be a study on this matter. But the new generation of Malaysians are DEVIATING themselves towards auto cars. My younger sister recently bought an auto Proton and so were my uncles and cousins. It costs at least a thousand more for an auto car compared to a standard in Malaysia.

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